Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000020 0.000023 0.000025 0.000029 0.000033 0.000038 0.000043
2025-02-02 0.000016 0.000019 0.000024 0.000029 0.000037 0.000046 0.000061
2025-02-09 0.000014 0.000017 0.000022 0.000029 0.000039 0.000054 0.000080
2025-02-16 0.000012 0.000016 0.000021 0.000029 0.000042 0.000063 0.000104
2025-02-23 0.000011 0.000015 0.000021 0.000030 0.000046 0.000074 0.000136
2025-03-02 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020 0.000030 0.000049 0.000086 0.000177
2025-03-09 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000030 0.000051 0.000095 0.000219
2025-03-16 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000030 0.000053 0.000105 0.000268
2025-03-23 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000030 0.000055 0.000117 0.000340
2025-03-30 0.000008 0.000011 0.000018 0.000030 0.000058 0.000131 0.000433
2025-04-06 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000030 0.000060 0.000144 0.000539
2025-04-13 0.000007 0.000010 0.000017 0.000030 0.000061 0.000155 0.000662
2025-04-20 0.000006 0.000010 0.000016 0.000030 0.000063 0.000171 0.000852
2025-04-27 0.000006 0.000010 0.000016 0.000030 0.000067 0.000194 0.001188
2025-05-04 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000030 0.000068 0.000213 0.001585
2025-05-11 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000030 0.000072 0.000243 0.002320
2025-05-18 0.000005 0.000009 0.000015 0.000031 0.000077 0.000285 0.003841
2025-05-25 0.000005 0.000009 0.000015 0.000031 0.000082 0.000332 0.006619
2025-06-01 0.000005 0.000008 0.000015 0.000031 0.000084 0.000367 0.010626
2025-06-08 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000031 0.000086 0.000403 0.017739
2025-06-15 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000031 0.000090 0.000458 0.037950
2025-06-22 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000031 0.000094 0.000522 0.103949
2025-06-29 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000031 0.000096 0.000578 0.346291